National Polling Shows A Landslide Coming for Democrats Nov. 4

by Glynn Wilson

If the presidential election were held today, Alabama would remain red on the national electoral-college map and the state’s nine electoral votes would go to the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin over Barack Obama and Joe Biden, according to the most recent Capital Survey Research Center poll, although more people in Alabama believe Obama will win on Nov. 4.

About 56 percent of those polled in Alabama say they plan to vote for McCain, the Republican, while only 35 percent say that will vote for Obama, the Democrat, while 9 percent are undecided or wouldn’t say, according to the survey of 554 likely voters conducted on Oct. 2, 6, and 7. The survey had a margin of error of 4.2 percent.

When asked who they thought would be elected president, however, 46 percent said Obama, while only 37 percent said McCain. Seventeen percent were undecided on that question.

The support levels for both candidates have not changed much since April of last year. Obama hit his highest peak in October of last year, when 41 percent of likely voters in Alabama said they would vote for him. McCain hit his lowest point last September at 44 percent.

Meanwhile nationally, the aggregated polling at Pollster.com has the Democrat winning in a major landslide with 324 electoral votes to 163 for the Republican.

Key states to recently change, most likely due to the financial crisis, include Colorado (9 electoral votes) and Florida (27 electoral votes), where Obama has now moved out of the margin-of-error range with a lead of about 50-45 percent.

North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana, Missouri and Nevada are the only toss-up states now, and McCain could not win the election even if he won them all.

Senator John McCain’s choice of Sarah Palin to be his running mate on the Republican ticket has launched a firestorm of bad press not quite blown out by all the news coverage of Hurricane Gustav. We figure this election is all but over anyway, but what the heck. Let’s play the conspiracy game.

Maybe Palin, in addition to being a redneck, anti-abortion nut with nice legs, who was for the bridge to nowhere before she was against it, is really Opus Dei?

I’m just now getting around to watching The Da Vinci Code film.

Wiki - The Da Vinci Code

While I don’t put much stock into these religious myths, the masses seem to. So I wonder if it was a conspiracy that I was bumped from the BBC once to talk about New Orleans by none other than Tom Hanks?

And, while we’re at it, I was lured to New Orleans in the first place at the turn of the century by the Jesuits at Loyola University, surely the protectors of the Catholic Church, where they proceeded to try and destroy my academic career.

Maybe I’m from the royal blood line myself, eh, one of the last of the true descendants of Mary Magdalene? Maybe that’s why they’re trying to kill me : )

Sorry, but even though it’s Tuesday, I’m in a Monday kind of mood.

Sarah Palin as Veep. What a freaking joke. Wonder how long it will take for Karl Rove to convince McCain to drop her?

Stay tuned…

Presumptive Republican presidential candidate and Senator John McCain maintains a 12 percent lead over Democrat Barack Obama in Alabama, according to Gerald W. Johnson of the Capital Survey Research Center. However, McCain has dropped some 10 points since June while the undecided and other vote increased 10 points.

“The relevant question is where does the undecided vote go?” he asks.

The numbers probably underestimate the Obama vote by 2-4 percent for two reasons, he said. One, cell phone use is heavier for younger and Black A-A voters and just cell phone users are not included in the data and the vote in these categories are primarily Obama. Two, the numbers do not include new registrations which are up for Democrats, including Black and younger voters, and down for Republicans.

Also, he said in a statement, the vote is heavily specified by demographic variables.

“That is, the McCain vote is stronger among voters with higher rates of church attendance, older age, higher income, males and rural residence,” he said. “McCain gets one percent of the Black vote while Obama gets 15 percent of the white vote.”

Read more about it on the Alabama Education Association Website.

We’ve been listening to John McCain and George Bush talk about the economy, and we’ve noticed a pattern: they keep saying the problems are all in our heads.

McCain’s campaign co-chair Phil Gramm had to step down because of controversy over his comment that we were in the middle of a “mental recession.” But the truth is, John McCain threw Phil Gramm under the bus for saying, less artfully, what he himself has said repeatedly.

What do you think?

Are Americans just crazy to think the economy is bad? Or do you think the inside-the-bubble rich Republicans just don’t care about whether you have a job or not or whether you have the money to buy gas if you do?