The final Gallup poll of Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to gain control of the House.

With only two days to go before the Nov. 2 midterm elections, Gallup’s results show the Republican candidate favored by 52-55 percent of likely voters while only 40-42 percent support the Democratic Party’s candidates, depending on turnout. If the voter turnout reaches 45 percent, Gallup’s analysis shows Republicans with a 55 percent to 40 percent lead over Democrats, with only 5 percent undecided.

The 15-point lead among likely voters is higher than only a 4-point lead among registered voters, who only favor Republicans by 48-44 percent, although all the trends point to more Republican enthusiasm to vote. Many Democrats who supported President Barack Obama in 2008 are not happy with the direction of the country, and many independents who voted for Obama say they are defecting to the GOP.

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The Daily Show’s Jon Stewart takes time to talk about why exactly he held the Rally to Restore Sanity.