“According to Auburn University Professor James H. Gundlach, who studied the election and reported his results in a peer reviewed paper presented to the Alabama Political Science Association, there is little doubt that election fraud took place that night in Bay Minette.

For one thing, none of the vote counts for any other candidate changed in that last count, only Siegelman’s. And all the votes changed in a negative direction.

“When Baldwin County reported two sets of results, it was clear to me that someone had manipulated the results,” Gundlach says. “There is simply no way that electronic vote counting can produce two sets of results without someone using computer programs in ways that were not intended.”

I say: However, it was the first set of results that were statistically out of line with the evening’s vote totals and the final reconciliation that made sense. It was a bad evening and an unfortunate turn of events that our Governor lost, but it really happened. For the initial totals to stand would have meant that Baldwin County voted different than it ever had in modern history and different than any county had in any Governor’s race anywhere with thousands of under votes in the top of the ticket race. All the change did was bring the Governor’s race into line with the other vote totals in the county. However, if they were trying to manipulate the vote totals from the start in that county that is another story. That would mean they just botched fixing the election the first time and had to go back and do it again, but then all the totals for the county would be funny and virtually all the polling officials would know about it. Ed

He said he still stands by his research 100 percent and is continuing to look at the 2006 election results.

We’ve now had several conversations on the phone and via e-mail. Here is one of his most relevant responses, which goes directly to the statistacal analysis involved.

It’s a bit arcane for anyone who has not studied statistics, but suffice it to say, here is an expert saying the election was stolen, with evidence to back it up…

Glynn,

I had not thought of it when I wrote the Baldwin County paper, but the strongest evidence of manipulation of the voting results is the fact that the correlation between Siegelman’s ’98 and ’02 vote was almost identical for the non-Baldwin and Baldwin voting districts, while the slope shifted from .85 to .67.

The only way that happens is to make a mathematical transformation of the data.

In real world data when the slope changes, the correlation changes.

Jim
jimgundlach@bellsouth.net

After the 2002 election, Ms. Simpson continued to stay in touch with Rob Riley and others in the Republican Party as Bob Riley moved into the governor’s mansion in Montgomery and took over the reins of government. Her law practice…